Alma Economics was commissioned by the Local Government Association (LGA) to engage with councils and other stakeholders to understand the need for a predictive modelling tool. The tool will support councils' decisions about future care provision and commissioning activity.

As part of the project, we spoke with representatives from 20 councils across England and non-government bodies, as well as staff from the Association of Directors of Adult Social Services (ADASS), the Care and Health Improvement Programme (CHIP), and other stakeholders via a series of regional workshops. During these conversations, we presented a long-term vision for a predictive model and gathered insight into the needs and concerns of councils around this tool.

The stakeholder feedback informed the development of core principles for the model as well as our proposal for a pilot.